MS-01: Results Thread #2


462 of 462 Precincts Reporting
CandidatePartyVotesPercent
Travis Childers (D)57,27654%
Greg Davis(R)49,31446%

RESULTS: Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal | Columbus Dispatch | Clarion-Ledger

County-by-County Baselines (4/22 and 4/1 results)

10:34PM: A big thank you to everyone who commented, donated, made phone calls, volunteered or blogged about this race.  Travis Childers and the Mississippi Democrats just took what was supposed to be a GOP cakewalk and delivered a deathblow.  Savor this win — because it’s a huge one.

10:17PM: Trent just left for the TRAVIS CHILDERS VICTORY PARTY!!!

10:15PM: Folks, sorry for this site crashing tonight.  We’ve been utterly slammed with traffic at a level that we haven’t seen since election night ’06.

10:14PM: CHILDERS WINS!!!

10:13PM: Folks, I think we just won this race.

10:06PM: Time for a new thread.

90 thoughts on “MS-01: Results Thread #2”

  1. AP calls it. They are talking about it on MSNBC talking about how important it is!

    CONGRATS! Props to Trent and Cottomouth and all the great locals!

  2. Childers ran 8 points better.  

    Marshall’s done.  Childers did six points better.

    Pontotoc is done.  Childers did two points better.

    Looking good.

  3. republicans tried to put obama around childers like a millstone and he still won.  superdelegates are going to start coming out now.  as for the republicans, in the words of chris “tiebreaker” chizilla TIME TO HIT THE PANIC BUTTON!

  4. “10:15PM: Folks, sorry for this site crashing tonight.  We’ve been utterly slammed with traffic at a level that we haven’t seen since election night ’06.”

    hahahahahahahahahahahahaha 😀 😀 😀

    Though I’m not calling the race that’s this close just yet.

  5. I can’t thank y’all enough for all your help, donations, and positive thinking.  We really appreciate it down in Mississippi.  Now it’s onto November!!!

  6. In the last 135 years, MS-01 has been held by Republicans for only 13 years (Wicker). This is a Democrat seat and will stay a Democrat seat.

  7. to all the local Dems in Mississippi. This was a tough fight and they gave it everything they had and pulled out a solid win. Onward to November, and a much larger majority.

  8. in either red districts (Illinois 14), or red states (Louisiana, and now Mississippi)

    November’s going to be very interesting.

  9. and the 50 State Strategy.

    This is such a great night to be a Democrat. Looks like Kleeb will win too.

  10. where we hope to turn our own 1st District blue this fall after a narrow miss in 2006.

    Great reporting, SSP! Congrats, Mississippi.

  11.  “if repubs don’t recover significantly from this we are finished(the nation, its ideals, etc.) Think about the next 4 yrs of non stop “War on Global Warming” rhetoric”

    “Conservativism cannot win ever, except among in-bred back-country, racist folk like me.”

    “Even with a moderate like McCain, any resistance to liberalism is hopeless.”

  12. I never thought 6% would be the margin, he doubled his 3% from the previous election!

    I’ll say it again…

    110th Congress: 236 DEM, 199 GOP

  13. With four elections in less than 2 months, a lot of folks were expecting voter fatigue.  Yet, after less than 70,000 votes in the last two rounds, the total will be well over 100,000 this time.  Great job voters!

    Plus, anyone who argued that Childers’s strong showing last time was due to low turnout in a very red district, well, that argument just got blown away.  His ultimate win will be significantly greater with many more votes being cast.  This is a true validation of the new Democratic representative from Mississippi!

    Bottom line – the cash poor NRCC spent $3 million plus on three bright red districts and lost all three.  They can argue all they want about poor candidates or special elections being unrepresentative, but I can’t remember so many strongly partisan districts flipping in specials.  November may be a Republican bloodbath, but all of us supporting Democrats in Senate and House races can’t let up in the next six months!

  14. The last minute NRCC commitment to this race had the net result of increasing the margin of Childer’s victory over the baseline 4/22 vote.  The Republicans are lost in the wilderness.  

  15. I suspect that Childers may support Hillary Clinton for President.  The Obama story did not play well down here, so it might be politically wise for him to support Hillary considering all the white rural Democrats that make up the district.  I’ll remind you of Heath Schuler’s endorsement last week.

  16. It’s as simple as that. Major kudos to all the county parties and involved individuals who did the hard work on the ground to make this happen.

    And big up to all the folks who lent this race their moral and financial support.

    And nuff respect to the good people of SSP for giving us the visibility we’ve had such a hard time gaining until now, for leading the charge in fund raising, and for being an all around lot of stand up folks.

    We did it.

  17. LA-06 – Tossup

    I only say tossup due to a potential Jackson independent run which would seriously hurt Cazayoux.  If Jackson stays out it moves to Lean Dem

    IL-14 – Lean Dem

    Maybe even likely Dem considering Obama should do well in IL.  Plus it looks like we get Oberweis again.

    MS-01 – Lean Dem

    Mississippi loves incumbants.  McCain will carry the district big, but MS voters don’t seem to have trouble splitting ballots.

  18. LA-06 – Tossup

    I only say tossup due to a potential Jackson independent run which would seriously hurt Cazayoux.  If Jackson stays out it moves to Lean Dem

    IL-14 – Lean Dem

    Maybe even likely Dem considering Obama should do well in IL.  Plus it looks like we get Oberweis again.

    MS-01 – Lean Dem

    Mississippi loves incumbants.  McCain will carry the district big, but MS voters don’t seem to have trouble splitting ballots.

  19. With all but one precinct in (which is in Prentiss), Childers is winning by eight points.

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